• 16/10/2007 Absolute Winners on Euro 2008 qualifiers

Bulgaria still has a very slim hope of qualifying to next year finals provided they beat Group G leader Romania tonite and beat Slovenia next Wednesday and at the same time hoping for Netherlands to slip against Belarus during their final match next Wednesday. The possibility is small but to make next Wednesday schedule interesting, they have to win tonite especially Romania has already qualify for the final and has nothing to play for tonite.

You know Italy have a big match tonite playing away to Scotland. The Italian can not afford to loss. If they lost to Scotland tonite they are out of Euro 2008. They can afford to draw though. The Italians have a match in hand. They can play to a draw tonite and beat Faroe Islands during their last qualifying match and still finish second in Group B and qualify for the Finals next year. So your odds is a dirty game from the Italian. That is the only danger. The worst case scenario is a draw and you loss half your money giving 1/4 handicap. Upside is an easy win for the Italians.

It is win or out for Turkey tonite playing away to Norway. Turkey has to win to keep their qualifying hope alive. Greece already qualifies and finishes as 1st place of Group C. Turkey and Norway fight for the second place finish. Turkey final qualifying match is at home against Bosnia, Norway has an easy away match to Malta. Turkey has to win the match tonight, a draw is not even an option. With +1/4 handicap on hand, this is a very good bet.

Denmark is 3rd on Group F with slim chance of finishing top 2. But they have 2 easy matches remain - away to Northern Ireland and at home to Iceland. With the Group F top 2 teams Spain and Sweden playing against each other tonite, you can be certain that Denmark will give it's all to beat Northern Ireland which is a pretty fucked up team.

 

  • 30/10/2007 Would you win money if you always bet on good teams throughout the entire season?

Results updated as of October 30, 2007:  

1) Both Man Utd and Chelsea have picked up the pace. They have won and covered the Asian Handicap of all their 3 EPL matches in the month of October. 

2) Bayern Munich has started to show some funny sign. They have not covered the Asian Handicap for last 2 of their 3 matches in October. 

3) Even though Real Madrid and Barcelona has lost by Asian Handicap 1 of their 3 La Liga matches in October, among all the big guns in Europe, they appear to be the more "consistent" teams so far. If you are clueless about which teams to bet, let's continue to bank on Real Madrid and Barcelona for the month of November. 

English Premier League 2007/08 Matches Played Win - Draw - Loss (on ASIAN HANDICAP)
Man Utd 11 5 - 2 - 4
Liverpool 10 4 - 2 - 4
Chelsea 11  3 - 2 - 6
Arsenal 10 6 - 4
Italian Serie A 2007/08 Matches Played Win - Loss (on Asian Handicap)
Juventus 9 6 - 3
AC Milan 9 2 - 7
Inter Milan 9 5 - 1 - 3
Roma 9 5 - 1 - 3
Spanish La Liga 2007/08 Matches Played Win - Loss (on Asian Handicap)
Real Madrid 9 7 - 2
Barcelona 9 6 - 3
German Bundesliga 2007/08 Matches Played Win - Loss (on Asian Handicap)
Bayern Munich

11

7 - 4

 

  • 20/10/2007 2007 Rugby World Cup 3rd place and FINAL picks and analysis

3rd Place - Argentina vs France (EverydayBigWin pick: Argentina +10.5) Win

FINAL - South Africa vs England (EverydayBigWin pick: South Africa -8) Win

3rd Place - It is a huge surprise, at least to us when France lost to England in the Semi-Final. The French was suppose to be the better, full of confidence after their Quarter Final upset win against New Zealand. Well, I guess what they say is correct - the ball is round, you never know what can happen on a playing field. (But then again Rugby ball is NOT round.....) Joking aside, we are betting on Argentina +10.5. We are hoping at least Argentina would not lost the 3rd place match against France by more than 10 points. Bear in mind that Argentina played really well against the mighty South Africa before collapsing in the last 15 minutes of the match. A 3rd place finish would be an extraordinary achievement, unprecedented accomplishment for the Argentine. As for the French, they have been there before, 3rd or 4th placing is indifference to them. Finally one thing you have to always remember about the French, they are a weird brunch of people by nature, they are proud, at times arrogant, they can cook, they have a bit history (not as much as the Chinese, the Italian (Rome) and the Greek) but when the going gets tough, they limp, they flop and they surrender. World War II basically defines the character of the general French. They willingly surrender to the German without giving up a fight, no bullets exchange, no casualty of war for the French. They surrender so that they can continue to cook their food and drink their wine.

FINAL - This is going to be a good one. We don't like the English for obvious reason: As much as we hate the racism Aussie, we did not believe the English deserve to win the 2003 World Cup 4 years ago. 4 years later we still do not think they were the best team in the world in 2003 AND we do not think they are the best team in the world NOW. In a tournament as big as the once every 4 years World Cup, you want to see the best team win it all. Based on what we have seen throughout this 2007 Rugby World Cup, South Africa has been the best team in term of consistency. We think South Africa would beat England and win 2007 Rugby World Cup AND cover the handicap of -8. (One irrelevant fact for your consideration before you place your money on the South African. Do you know what they say about white South African aged 40 years old and above. All white South African 40 years old and above have either killed a black people, tortured a black people or raped a black people in their life. Do you want to support such people?)

 

  • 12/10/2007 EURO 2008 qualifiers

From a punter's perspective, the very good thing about this EURO 2008 qualifiers is that there is no play-off. Unlike the previous European Championship qualifying rounds when the second and/or third teams played a home and away play-off match to determine the last 5 or 6 qualifying place. That would leave a some margin of "error" for some very good teams (eg. Spain and Germany both qualify to Euro 2004 through playoff) during the qualifying rounds. Now only the top 2 teams of each group qualify for the 2008 European Championship. There is less margin for dirty games because if you finish 3rd place of the group, you are out, no play-off for last chance.

So after half way through the qualifying, now is the best chance to win money. Pick the good team that can no afford to draw or loss their remaining matches and bet your money on them. Here are our money bets:

Serbia -1.25 against Armenia - Serbia is currently 4th place of Group A with a game in hand. They still have a good chance to fight for the top 2 finishing and should rightfully do so. If this is a clean match, they should have no problem to beat Armenia even playing away from home. Based on the odds of -1.25 playing away, we would like to think that Serbia will win the match and cover the Asian Handicap. (There are 16 competitive Euro 2008 qualifiers tonight, only 3 teams (Serbia, Germany and Turkey) have to give up the handicap playing away from home.)

Same logic applied to Turkey who is playing away at Moldova and give up 1.5 Asian Handicap. Turkey is currently 3rd place on Group C, same point as Norway and 2 points behind Group C leader Greece with Bosnia 4 points behind Turkey. Turkey can not afford to loss or draw this match tonite. Let's hope they can cover the handicap too. 

Denmark is 5 points behind Group F leader Sweden with Northern Ireland 2 points ahead of them and Spain 5 points at 2nd place. Group F is a tough group. You would expect Spain, Sweden and Denmark to fight it out. Denmark is playing at home tonight against the mighty Spain. If they loss this match at home tonite, it is fair to say that Denmark do not deserve to qualify for 2008 European Championship. The odds is level game. This is a money bet.

 

  • 11/10/2007 2007 Rugby World Cup quarter finals picks and analysis

Semi Final 1 - France vs England (EverydayBigWin pick: France -8.5) Loss

Semi Final 2 - South Africa vs Argentina (EverydayBigWin pick: South Africa -10) Win

We are reluctant to take the points in any match during Rugby World Cup. The fact that none of the favourite teams covered the handicap during the 4 quarter final matches support our strategic. But we hate England, they play boring rugby and they did not deserve to win the Rugby World Cup 4 years ago. In addition, France played one of the most beautiful rugby world cup match last week during their come from behind upset of New Zealand (just as we predicted). The particular match is going to go down the history as one of the Rugby World Cup epic. We are going to put our money on France -8.5 against England. The risk is this could be a close game. France may win out but not cover the handicap.  

When we look at the handicap offered by the bookie on South Africa vs Argentina match we want to laugh. This is a joke. South Africa is the world #2 team right now and they are strong. Argentina is a minor in the world of rugby as near as 2 years ago. To play in the quarterfinal is already a wonderful achievement for Argentina. Beating Scotland and qualified for Semi Final is the greatest accomplishment for the Argentine rugby, something no Argentine would ever dream of... and the handicap against South Africa is 10 points? We like the underdogs, especially in Rugby World Cup. But when you see an odds/handicap that makes you laugh, you got to love your money better.

(YES, we know we are betting against our strategic and principle for Rugby World Cup by taking France -8.5 and South Africa -10. But... sometimes you have to follow your brain, not your heart.)

 

  • 5/10/2007 2007 Rugby World Cup quarter finals picks and analysis

Q1 - Australia vs England (EverydayBigWin pick: Australia -14.5) Loss

Q2 - New Zealand vs France (EverydayBigWin pick: France +14.5) Win

Q3 - South Africa vs Fiji (EverydayBigWin pick: Fiji +35.5) Win

Q4 - Argentina vs Scotland (EverydayBigWin pick: Argentina -13.5) Loss

Even though England is the defending champion, this England team sucks big time. Australia will beat England easily. Hopefully they can cover the spread too. New Zealand is the best team in the world of Rugby Union right now and they are the overwhelming favourite to win the 2007 World Cup. France is the host nation and they are not too bad themselves. This is going to be a fascinating match. If you are a Rugby fan, don't miss this one. If you are not a Rugby fan yet, you should bet some money on the match and try to watch if you can. We reckon this is the best match up so far in this World Cup. South Africa is rank #2 team in the world right now but we think they are over rated. Fiji has flair. If they can stay close with South Africa during the first half, they would have a chance. 4 years ago and beyond, you would never imagine that Argentina has to give up a 13.5 spread to Scotland. This just shows how far and how fast the rest of the countries have come up against the traditional big teams in the Rugby Union. Argentina is power spear. Scotland has no talent and no size. Argentina will win the match, hopefully they cover.

 

  • 1/10/2007 Champions League 2 Minutes Analysis 

Our best 2 Minutes Analysis are back with popular demand. So here you go... (2 minutes):

At this early stage of the lucrative Champions League competition, most team especially middle tier teams can not afford to play dirty matches. So if unsure, the best thing is to bet on home team. Do not bet on Turkish team such as Fenerbahce away from Turkey. CSKA Moscow is a good team, especially at home. Dynamo Kiev is another good team playing at home. The only concern is the 0.25 handicap, which appears to be a little on the low side. Inter Milan has been so hot on Serie A, do not bet against them in the Champions League. (After winning last season Serie S title, if there is one trophy that they want more, it would be the Champion League title.) Never bet on Scottish team away from home, they suck big time. Roma is on top form and Man Utd is a weaker team right now as compared to the one last season, bet on the Italian to avoid humiliation for the second time. Seville is too good at home to a Prague team, they will cover the handicap easily. Arsenal is still good enough playing away at Romania. Barcelona is going to play a dirty match away to Stuttgart.

 

  • Would you win money if you always bet on good teams throughout the entire season?

There is an old school of thought when it comes to soccer betting. Always bet on the good teams (on Asian Handicap) throughout the entire season and you will end up with positive winnings by the end of the season. It is true that once a while these teams play a lousy match or a dirty match regardless. But at the end of the season, they will win more matches then they loss (on Asian Handicap). So if you close your eyes and just keep betting on these good teams throughout the entire season, you will win money at the end of the season. 

To prove if this is true, we are going to keep track of the results of the BIG 4 (Man Utd, Liverpool, Chelsea and Arsenal) in English Premier League; the BIG 4 (Juventus, AC Milan, Inter Milan and Roma) in Serie A; the BIG 2 (Real Madrid and Barcelona) in Spanish La Liga and the BIG 1 (Bayern Munich) in German Bundesliga for Season 2007/2008.

Results as of September 4, 2007 (will be updated weekly): A couple thing as of September 3: If you are a die hard Man Utd fan and have been betting blindly on Man Utd so far this early season, then you are fucked. Man Utd has not won a match on Asian Handicap at this point. Same for the Chelsea fan. On the other hand, if you have been betting on the BIG 4 teams in Serie A for the last couple of weeks then you would have make a lot of money. The combined Asian Handicap result for the BIG 4 teams in the Serie A after 2 round of matches are a whopping 6 wins 2 loss (75%).

Results updated as of September 30, 2007:  After almost 2 months of action, this is basically the summary of all the big guns in Europe:

1) If you are Chelsea fan and has been betting continuously on Chelsea, you are fucked... Chelsea has not won a single match on Asian Handicap.

2) Apparently Bundesliga and La Liga appear to be the less dirty league in Europe. If you continue to bet on the big guns in these 2 leagues, namely Bayern Munich, Real Madrid and Barcelona, you would have a net profit so far with the 3 teams showing a combined result of 15 wins and 5 losses (75%). This is going to be our strategic going forward for the next 1 month.

3) Juventus is the best bet in Serie A and Arsenal is the best bet in EPL, at least based on the first 2 months results. We will continue to bet on Juventus and Arsenal for the next 1 month.

English Premier League 2007/08 Matches Played Win - Loss (on ASIAN HANDICAP)
Man Utd 8 2 - 2 - 4
Liverpool 7 3 - 2 - 2
Chelsea 8  0 - 2 - 6
Arsenal 7 5 - 2
Italian Serie A 2007/08 Matches Played Win - Loss (on Asian Handicap)
Juventus 6 5 - 1
AC Milan 6 1 - 5
Inter Milan 6 4 - 2
Roma 6 3 - 1 - 2
Spanish La Liga 2007/08 Matches Played Win - Loss (on Asian Handicap)
Real Madrid 6 5 - 1
Barcelona 6 4 - 2
German Bundesliga 2007/08 Matches Played Win - Loss (on Asian Handicap)
Bayern Munich

8

6 - 2 

 

 

  • Rugby World Cup 2007 - special tribute to a long lost buddy Mr. Wong Cheng Leong

Rugby World Cup 2007 started a few days ago in France. This is a big event, once every 4 years, just like the Soccer World Cup or the Olympics. Many people do not recognize or pay attention to the Rugby World Cup in the past but its interest has gradually grown over the years mainly thanks to the satellite era where people can now watch all the matches live on cable TV.

4 years ago when England won the World Cup by beating Australia with a last minute drop goal, I had to eat my words on the internet that ".. despite having the longest history in these sports, in your life time, you would never see England wins another Soccer World Cup, Rugby World Cup, Cricket World Cup or an English man wins Wimbledon (tennis)..." Subsequently after the drop goal, a kind English man attacked me on the internet with such vicious comment that I wondered if he would have killed me in person. Well, that was all in the past. 4 years has gone passed before you know it.

Today before we talked about Rugby World Cup, before we give away the best betting tips for Rugby World Cup, we want to take this opportunity to remember our buddy Mr. Wong Cheng Leong whom we have unfortunately lost touch since moving across the Pacific Ocean 4 years ago. 

Many years ago before I became a professional gambler, I worked in a public accounting firm and have to go out to client's site most of the time, we called that working on the field. Cheng Leong is a colleague of mine. Every time when we were out at the field, we skipped the work and went to the nearest snooker center to play snooker. That was really fun time, especially when you were young. As far as I can remember, Cheng Leong is the best snooker player I have seen in my life, including now, when I have already met a few semi-pro Filipino pool players in another continent. So you can guess how good Cheng Leong is as a snooker player.  

Cheng Leong is a gambler too and he always like to remind me that I was the person who taught him how to bet on Rugby - everyone in the Asia bet soccer, most American bet the American football, NBA or even Major League Baseball, but I taught him how to bet Rugby. That was 1999. 

Remember the night when I called you and woke you up 1am in the morning to insist that you bet with me on the 3rd place play off match between New Zealand and South Africa because I couldn't find any odds offered by all the online bookmakers for the 3rd place play off match, and as a compulsive gambler at that time, I simple have to bet on it.... Sleepily and probably not sure what the hell was going on being woke up in the middle of the night for an inconsequence Rugby match, you agreed with the odds that I set up myself and picked a side so as to fulfill my compulsive gambler itch.. (Needless to say, I won the bet. :-))

Many years have gone passed and we have gone on to live our separate life. But every 4 years when it comes to the Rugby World Cup time, no matter where I am, no matter what I am doing, I will always be thinking of you, cheerishing the memory and the friendship that we share.. So on this day at this time, wherever you are, whatever you are doing, I want you to know that a long lost friend is thinking about you... 

Historical Rugby World Cup winners:

1987 - New Zealand 

1991 - Australia

1995 - South Africa

1999 - Australia

2003 - England

The best tips to bet Rugby World Cup matches is to take the lower plate all the times during the round robin matches. Simple take the points (spread) for all the round robin matches. At the end of the tournament, you will win overwhelmingly more than you lost. This is a historical fact since 1991, it has been proven for the last 4 Rugby World Cup and more than 16 years of statistic. If you are a sport gambler, don't miss out on this once every 4 years betting opportunity.

 

 

  • 2007 Super Bowl Analysis

The pick is simple. Peyton Manning is going to pick apart the entire Chicago Bears defense. There is no doubts about it.  

So you start asking yourself - WHY is it a 7 points spread, merely a Touch Down. Then you start to wonder. Then you start to worry. Then you remember and you remember... 4 of the last 5 Super Bowl winners did not cover the spread:

- 2005 New England Patriots -6 and defeated Philadelphia Eagles by 24-21

- 2004 New England Patriots -8.5 and defeated Carolina Panthers by 32-29 

- 2003 Oakland Raiders -7 against Tampa Bay Buccaneers and LOST the game by 21-42

- 2002 St Louis Rams -14 against New England Patriots and LOST the game by 20-17.

And so you ask yourself why. The reason is simple. Pretty much EVERY American has a bet on Super Bowl. The casino bookmakers in Vegas will try to rig the game IF they can. Otherwise, the favourite team will give a really high spread. 

Colts -7 (a Touch Down) is not a high spread. Bears sucks. They can't run the ball, the Quarterback can't throw the ball safely. A lot has been said about Bears having the best defense in the country. But that won't help the cause. Payton Manning and Colts' offence is the best one has ever seen in recent NFL history. It is unstoppable. If you follow NFL for the last decade you will know what we are talking about. It you are new to NFL then you just have to trust us. So the natural question you want to ask is "If the Colts are so good, why they have not even been in the Super Bowl since Peyton Manning's era?" Well, the answer is simple - Colts have lost to the eventual Super Bowl winner in the AFC playoff for the last 3 years (2006 Pittsburgh Steelers, 2005 New England Patriots, 2004 New England Patriots). 

Finally.... the last piece of information you should know before you bet your money on whatever pick it is. We have $500 on Colts winning the Super Bowl one month ago before the post season starts at 1 to 11. Naturally we will now "hedge" our bet with Bears +7. If Colts win by anything below 7, we win both bets.... So, don't let our pick affect your heart. 

The ultimate truth is Colts will be unstoppable on Sunday and Peyton Manning will go down the history as the best QB in modern NFL history.

 

  • 06/12/2006 Champions League 2 Minutes Analysis 

1) Usually you don't trust the Greek playing away from home because they are the mama's boy. They just can't play away matches but with so much on the line, you have to bet on AEK Athens for once they will get a result from the Belgium.  2) Real Madrid has nothing to play for in this away cold game in Kiev, Ukraine. You hope the ex-Soviet Union Army will close their Champions League campaign with a home win against the mighty Real.  3) Again you don't trust the Scottish away from the Heartland but Celtics wants this so bad and Copenhagen is such a lousy team you have to bet that Celtics will at least get a draw in Denmark. 4) Hamburg vs CSKA Moscow - this is the sucker punch of the week, don't fall for it.   5) The bookies have faith in Man Utd giving 1.25 Handicap but Man Utd only needs a draw to qualify. Follow the bookies.  6) Porto is a good team. Don't bet against them at Portugal.

 

  • 22/11/2006 Champions League 8 Matches 2 Minutes Analysis Win 

1) CSKA Moskow is a very good team. A home win tonight will see them through to Round 16. However, a draw will still give them a second chance 2 weeks later to play a very weak Hamburg at Germany while Porto (Win ) has to beat Arsenal at home 2 weeks later to qualify for Round 16 at the expense of CSKA.   2) AC Milan has not been playing well in domestic Serie A matches. Traditionally Greek teams are not easy to defeated in Greece especially AEK Athens (Win ) Arsenal (Win ) Benfica (Win ) Celtics (Win ) Lille needs points to secure Round 16 qualification since they are going to play their last group match away at AC Milan 2 weeks later. Historically Belgium team can't play away leg. So don't bet on Anderlecht.   7) Real Madrid playing at Santiago Bernabeu giving half ball to Lyon (Win )

 

  • 12/11/2006 Dirty Sunday 2 Minutes 6 Matches Analysis

Here we go again, a Super (Dirty) Sunday:

Tottenham unbeaten in its last 5 matches including last week home win against Chelsea -0.25 away to Reading, a team that has lost its last 4 matches, yet Tottenham is winning full 100% at -0.25.  Besides the market -0.5 plate for Arsenal against Liverpool, there is currently another plate available for Arsenal at -0.25 win less at 75%. If Arsenal is to win this home match, the second plate would not be available in the market.  Siena, a team that is unbeaten for its last 8 matches playing at home -0.25 (not even a god damn half ball) against Reggina, rock bottom at Serie A table. The bookies is fucking with our mind.  Palermo, winner of its last 4 consecutive matches -1 at home against Torino. Real Madrid playing away -0.75 win full with no discount to Osasuna. So the bookies is simply asking you if you think Real Madrid will come away a winner. Same for Barcelona -1 at home against Zaragoza.  One goal handicap for a match between 2nd and 3rd place appears very high but then again, who would bet against Barca at Nou Camp. If you are a punter who bets week in week out but you refuse to bet on such matches because they appear high risk then perhaps you should not be a seasonal punter. 

 

  • 5/11/2006 Inter Milan vs Ascoli

If you are the bookies, how are you going to offer the plate for a one sided match when the home team Inter Milan, top of Serie A table, fresh from a very important midweek Champions League away win against Spartak Moscow, play against Ascoli, a team that has not won a single match so far this season. While contemplating your plate, what else come into consideration? 1) Inter top striker Adriano is back; 2) Inter has just beaten its city rival AC Milan in a dramatic win last weekend whole Ascoli lost at home to Siena; 3) Ascoli has scored the fewest goal (5 goals) in Serie A while conceding 12 goals so far; 4) Several Inter Milan key players (Vieira, Recoba, Cambiasso) are reported injured not to mention Materazzi is suspended.

If we were the bookies, we would probably offer the plate at Inter -1.75 goals win less at may be 80% discount knowing most people would bet on upper plate. But as a punter, we will bet on Ascoli, open up a bottle of drink, sit back, enjoy the match and hope that Ascoli can hold for 90 minutes. 

Some Ascoli joker want to miss Penalty pick ain't nobody's fault but themselves.

 

  • 31/10/2006 Champions League 2 Minutes QUICK CAP

Spartak Moscow is not a lousy team not to mention they are playing at home. Inter Milan has to give half ball playing at Moscow means it is a clean match and Inter has to win cause Sporting Lisbon is getting at least a point tonight away to Bayern Munich. Speaking of which, Bayern has a couple of good wins (and cover the Asian Handicap) recently in Bundesliga and Champions League, time to do a draw at home. Everybody thinks Barcelona needs to win somehow Chelsea survive in Nou Camp; everybody thinks Levski Sofia sucks yet they survive the Asian Handicap. Liverpool gives 1.25 at home to Bordeaux means they will cover; PSV "undeservedly" defeated Galatasaray 2 weeks ago means they have to give it back to the Turks tonight. When you see top Italian teams (like Roma) give 1.25 at home and win 100% (with no discount to bookies) in European competitions usually mean they won't cover the Asian Handicap (to Olympiakos) otherwise they will give 1.5. You make people (Shakhtar Donetsk) played through shit the entire year in order to appear in Champions League sometimes you have to give the home fan a bit of cheers right.

 

  • 29/10/2006 Serie A

AC Milan vs Inter Milan

This is Match of The Week in all the European soccer this week and the plate is level match with AC Milan win less at 80% or 85% discount.  Inter Milan has been overshadowed by its city rival AC Milan since the late 80's and early 90's when Inter Milan has the 3 German Musketeers. Long gone were the days and Inter has lost 6 Milan Derby in the last 4 years. 

This has to be the year of Inter Milan in Serie A with AC Milan being deducted for 8 points and Juventus demoted to Serie B due to match fixing scandal (what's new).  Despite playing rather unimpressively so far this season, Inter Milan remains unbeaten in Serie A. However, Inter Milan has lost last 4 of its 5 Serie A matches on Asian Handicap until their midweek 4-1 win against Livorno. Similarly, AC Milan has lost last 5 of its 6 Serie A matches on Asian Handicap until their midweek 1-0 away win against Chievo. It is also a perception that AC Milan needs to make ground desperately and they can not afford to loss this match otherwise they will be 14 points behind Inter Milan.

This is going down to be a dog fight. It is too good for AC Milan to sit on level match.

 

  • 18/10/2006 Champions League

Sporting Lisbon vs Bayern Munich

Why do we pick Sporting Lisbon:

There are 2 plates available in the market right now. 1) Level plate with Bayern Munich win less at about 80% or 2) Bayern Munich -0.25 win 100%. If you watch how Bayern Munich destroyed Hertha Berlin during last weekend Bundesliga you will know that they have a very good team there and they play excellence football.  Either of the 2 plates does not do justice to Bayern Munich's true strength or punters' expectation.

But the main reason we would place our money on Sporting Lisbon is because Bayern Munich already has 6 points with 2 wins out of 2 matches and are now top of Group B.  If Bayern Munich wins tonight, they will have 9 points and only need 1 more point from remaining 3 matches to qualify to the knock out phase of the Champions League. With Inter Milan currently lying at the bottom of Group B with 1 point, it could be too soon for Bayern Munich to get their 9 points. 

Third point - if Arsenal was giving 0.25 playing away against CSKA Moscow last night, one would reasonably expect similar plate for Bayern Munich playing away to Sporting Lisbon.

 

  • 17/10/2006 Champions League

CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal

This is Arsenal's record since their 1-1 draw against Middlesbrough on September 9, 2006: Arsenal has 6 wins out of 6 matches including 2 Champions League matches at home against Porto and away against Hamburg. Along the way, Arsenal has scored 13 goals while giving up only 2 goals. In addition, Arsenal has covered the Asian Handicaps 5 times and draw 1 time (2-1 win away to Charlton while giving 1 goal). This is nice. This is really nice especially if you have been betting on Arsenal all the way since September 9. In modern soccer world especially considering all the betting hype surrounding the sport, this is almost phenomenon. All good things come to a stop sooner or later (otherwise at some point of our life, all of us don't have to work anymore).

The plate is Arsenal playing away at Moscow giving 0.25 goal. We have nothing much to say about the plate. It looks like a fair plate and is probably a fair plate all factors considered.

CSKA Moscow is not a lousy fucked up team. Let's not repeat ourselves when everyone already knows that CSKA has 4 points from 2 Champions League matches this season - home win against Hamburg and away draw against Porto and they are last season surprise UEFA cup winner with a few Brazilian on their team not to mention the freezing cold temperature in Moscow right now. So either way you look at it, this is a side to pick, playing at home and enjoy a 0.25 goal handicap and most importantly, a good match to watch.

 

  • 14/10/2006 EPL

Wigan vs Man Utd

Either this is a joke or we are a joke. Man Utd, top of EPL table gives 1 goal playing away to Wigan... and yet Wigan has to win less at 80% to 85%. Come on here. The bookies is teasing me, you and each and everyone of the punters out there... They are challenging us right here right now. So what, everyone know the sport is dirty, occasionally if not more often then not. But do we dare to take the challenge? 

Some jokers are telling us the plate has dropped to Man Utd -0.75 goal as we speak?

We love soccer, just like you and everyone else. But if this is how billion dollar worldwide betting has disgraced our beloved sport, if this is how the bookies has polluted the love of our life, then we got to do something about it. Take up the challenge and fuck them (the bookies) up. So what if Man Utd wins 2 goals, cover the plate and you loss money? It ain't no big deal. You bet so many matches every week, what is there to loss 1 more. You will immediately cover back your losses tomorrow with an easy win. Bottom line is we, unified as soccer lovers can not let bookies get away with this. 

 

  • 11/10/2006 Euro 2008 Qualifying 

Wales vs Cyprus: 

Wales lost to Slovakia 1-5 at home four days ago while Cyprus defeated Ireland 5-2 at the same time. As fucked up as Wales soccer has become, they should still remain red hot favourite playing at home to Cpyprus. Wales doesn't deserve to give a mere 0.75 goal to Cyprus. They deserve better for the sake of Ian Rush, Ryan Giggs, once great Welsh international players. As much a miracle for Cyprus to defeat Ireland last Saturday, they remain a country with a population of 700,000 people which are renowned for its 500 km of Mediterranean coast line (for the likes of Rio Ferdinand and Co. to have their orgy parties) and Marco Baghdatis being the only famous sport (tennis) player ever produced by Cyprus.

So this is either one out of a thousand matches that bookies happen to offer the wrong plate OR this is the typical bookie sucker punch.  

 

  • 07/10/2006 Euro 2008 Qualifying 

Russia vs Isreal : 

Hot money is all over Russia because i) Russia needs to win this game after a disappointing draw against Croatia in their opening match last month; ii) Russia is playing at home with strong support from Volka pumped up Russian crowd; iii) Over achiever Guss Hiddink still waiting for his first win as Russia new manager for the Euro 2008 qualifying campaign; iv) Isreal can kill as many innocent Palestian as they wish, but they can't play soccer.

 

 

 

 

 

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Last modified: April 18, 2008